Looking at recent history and from a returns perspective
only, there would appear to be little point in investing in international
shares. However, this is akin to driving by looking only in the rear view
mirror. Broader longer term issues need to be considered when constructing a
portfolio: notably risk and diversification. Over the longer term the currency
effect between unhedged and hedged international shares should wash out, but
there are moments of extremes which potentially provide attractive entry
points. Glen Stevens, Governor of the Reserve Bank of Australia said on 6
November 2012 that “The exchange rate, though, remains higher than might have
been expected, given the observed decline in export prices and the weaker
global outlook”. Furthermore, the Australian Dollar is a volatile currency. It
usually falls at times of economic crisis, and therefore provides a cushion to
equity market falls for investors with unhedged overseas assets.
There may be good reasons for the relative performance
differential between Australian and International shares over the last decade
but in the 10 and 20 year periods to 31 December 1999 International shares
returns far exceeded Australian share returns. International shares are no
longer expensive on a relative basis. Given the significantly lower volatility
and correlation to Australian equities that unhedged international shares
possess, there are more diversification benefits to investing in this asset
class as compared to hedged international shares.
Australian investors can also diversify away from some
significant sector bias in their home market at the same time as accessing
important global sectors such as Information Technology and Healthcare where
there is little representation domestically. The international opportunity set
is vast and broadly diversified across sectors with different sensitivities to
the economic cycle. There are also a number of high quality managers which can
be combined to create robust and well diversified investment portfolios and,
which have the potential to add value over time.
In summary, investing in international shares helps improve
the overall risk adjusted returns profile of a portfolio whilst increasing the
opportunity set and providing diversification away from a highly concentrated
local market. When you couple this with an Australian Dollar at elevated
levels, and relative equity valuations in more neutral territory, I believe
investors should benefit from a tilt to international shares over Australian
shares in the long run.
Thanks for finally talking about > "Why invest in international shares?" < Liked it!
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